DP ESS · HL / SL · Topic 6: Atmosphere and climate change

6.3 Climate change - mitigation and adaptation

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Climate Change as a Planetary Problem

Greenhouse gases released anywhere in the world mix uniformly through the atmosphere. A tonne of CO₂ emitted in one country warms the climate for every country equally. This means that even the most ambitious national climate policy, acting alone, cannot prevent catastrophic warming.

This is what makes climate change fundamentally different from most environmental problems. A river polluted by one factory can be cleaned by that country's regulators. The atmosphere cannot be fixed by any single government acting within its own borders.

Note

Climate change is non-localised: its drivers and its impacts both cross political boundaries, making it a shared problem requiring shared solutions.

At the same time, every country values its state sovereignty, the right to govern its own resources, energy systems, and economic choices. Climate action requires nations to voluntarily accept constraints on those choices in the interest of global stability. Balancing sovereignty against collective responsibility is the central political tension in every international climate negotiation.

Low-income countries face this tension most acutely. They contributed least to historical emissions, yet experience some of the most severe climate impacts, including intensified droughts, sea-level rise, and food insecurity. High-emitting economies, meanwhile, often resist binding commitments due to concerns about industrial competitiveness and economic growth.

International Cooperation: Mechanisms and Agreements

Because no single nation can solve climate change, the international community has built a set of legal and diplomatic structures to coordinate action.

Conventions are broad frameworks that formalise shared recognition of a problem. The UNFCCC (1992) is the foundational convention: it established climate change as a global challenge requiring collective response, and introduced the principle of Common but Differentiated Responsibilities (CBDR), acknowledging that industrialised nations bear greater historical responsibility for current warming.

Protocols sit beneath conventions and specify commitments in more detail. The Kyoto Protocol (1997) set legally binding emission reduction targets for industrialised countries. The Doha Amendment (2012) extended those obligations to 2020, though participation was limited and global impact remained modest.

Treaties are legally binding agreements. The Paris Agreement (2015) replaced Kyoto as the main global treaty. Under Paris, all member states must submit Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), national plans outlining how each country will reduce emissions, renewed on five-year cycles. The agreement aims to limit warming to well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels, with efforts toward 1.5°C.

Annual COP summits (Conference of the Parties) bring all UNFCCC member states together to review progress, negotiate finance, and update targets. These meetings are the primary venue for global climate diplomacy.

Warning

Not all COP outcomes are legally binding. Many commitments depend on voluntary national implementation, and ambition varies widely between countries.

Cross-border carbon mechanisms address a specific problem: if one country prices carbon strictly, industries may relocate to countries with weaker rules, a process called carbon leakage. Border carbon adjustment mechanisms (CBAMs), such as the EU's scheme covering cement, steel, and fertiliser imports, impose carbon costs on incoming goods to prevent this. They effectively extend the reach of domestic climate policy across borders without requiring international agreement.

Decarbonisation and Carbon Neutrality

Decarbonisation

Decarbonisation is the process of reducing or eliminating CO₂ emissions from energy production, transport, industry, and other economic sectors by shifting to low-carbon and zero-carbon alternatives.

Fossil fuels underpin most of the global economy's energy flows. Burning them releases CO₂ that has been locked underground for millions of years, rapidly increasing atmospheric concentrations. Without decarbonisation, global temperatures are projected to exceed the 1.5°C to 2°C thresholds beyond which climate risks escalate sharply.

Carbon neutrality

Carbon neutrality means achieving a net-zero carbon footprint by balancing the amount of CO₂ emitted with an equivalent amount removed from the atmosphere, typically through carbon sinks or carbon capture technologies.

National targets for carbon neutrality vary considerably:

  • EU, UK, Japan, South Korea: 2050
  • Germany: 2045
  • China: 2060
  • India: 2070
  • Bhutan and Suriname: already carbon negative, because extensive forest cover removes more CO₂ than their low-emission economies produce

These differences reflect varying levels of industrial development, energy demand, and economic capacity. There is no single pathway.

Decarbonisation involves three interconnected shifts:

  1. Reduce energy demand through building insulation, industrial efficiency, reducing food waste, and circular economy practices.
  2. Electrify processes currently powered by fossil fuels, including vehicles, heating systems, and manufacturing, so that energy demand is met by electricity rather than combustion.
  3. Clean the electricity supply by expanding solar, wind, tidal, geothermal, and hydroelectric generation, and phasing out coal as the most carbon-intensive fuel.

These three pillars are not sequential: progress on all three simultaneously accelerates the overall transition.

Note

Bhutan and Suriname demonstrate that carbon negativity is achievable through maintaining large forest sinks alongside low industrial emissions, a model that highlights the value of preserving existing ecosystems.

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