DP Math AA · HL / SL · Statistics & Probability · Updated

SL 4.5—Probability concepts, expected numbers

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Trials, Outcomes, and Sample Spaces

Probability is the branch of mathematics that deals with measuring how likely events are to occur. To work with probability, we need some precise vocabulary.

Trial

A single execution of a random experiment — for example, rolling a die once or flipping a coin once.

Outcome

A specific result of a single trial — for example, rolling a 4, or getting heads.

Sample Space (U)

The set of all possible outcomes of an experiment. It is denoted by the letter .

Example

Single coin flip:

Rolling a six-sided die:

Rolling two dice: contains 36 ordered pairs, from to .

Sample spaces can be represented in several ways:

  • Lists — simple enumeration, e.g.
  • Tables — useful when combining two experiments (rows = one die, columns = the other)
  • Tree diagrams — show sequential stages clearly

Trials, Outcomes, and Sample Spaces

Exam Tip

Always write out the full sample space before calculating any probabilities — it stops you from accidentally missing outcomes!

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